III Liga - Group 4 — Poland
Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 15:15 • Boisko treningowe MOSiR Chelm
Match Finished

Chełmianka Chełm

2 - 0

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.80) 0.66 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.4% 29.8% 19.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.5%
0 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chełmianka Chełm 0 14.8% 9.8% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.5% 12.2% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.6% 7.6% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChełmianka ChełmSiarka Tarnobrzeg
Played55
Form80%33%
Attack52%33%
Defense62%52%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chełmianka Chełm Siarka Tarnobrzeg
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%67%80%0%50%20%
Draws0%0%0%33%50%40%
Loses0%33%20%67%0%40%

Form: Chełmianka Chełm: WWWWL • Siarka Tarnobrzeg: LWLDD

League goals

Metric Chełmianka Chełm Siarka Tarnobrzeg
HATHAT
GF total3811347
GF avg1.52.72.21.02.01.4
GA total1787310
GA avg0.52.31.62.31.52.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChełmianka ChełmSiarka Tarnobrzeg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%60%80%100%
1.560%40%60%80%
2.540%20%0%20%
3.520%20%0%0%
4.50%20%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChełmianka ChełmSiarka Tarnobrzeg
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricChełmianka ChełmSiarka Tarnobrzeg
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricChełmianka ChełmSiarka Tarnobrzeg
Wins41
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-3—1-2
Biggest losses—5-11-3—
Goals For2422
Goals Against1532

Model comparison

MetricChełmianka ChełmSiarka Tarnobrzeg
Form71%29%
Att61%39%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total60.0%40.0%

Advice: Double chance : Chełmianka Chełm or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.35 @ 1xBet
Draw5.65 @ Superbet
Away7.00 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.51 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.37 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Superbet
No1.82 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Venue page • Chełmianka Chełm vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Expected goals (λ): Chełmianka Chełm = 1.25 (league 1.80), Siarka Tarnobrzeg = 0.66 (league 1.52)

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chełmianka Chełm 0 14.8% 9.8% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.5% 12.2% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.6% 7.6% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.4% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 19.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1