III Liga - Group 4 — Poland
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:00 • Stadion MOSiR
Not Started

Stal Kraśnik

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Czarni Połaniec

Expected Goals
2.27 (league 1.80) 0.92 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.9% 18.4% 13.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Czarni Połaniec
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stal Kraśnik 0 4.1% 3.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.4% 8.6% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.6% 9.8% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.0% 7.4% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.5% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStal KraśnikCzarni Połaniec
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack79%79%
Defense57%7%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stal Kraśnik Czarni Połaniec
HATHAT
Played55104610
Wins60%20%40%50%17%30%
Draws20%20%20%0%0%0%
Loses20%60%40%50%83%70%

Form: Stal Kraśnik: WLLLWDWLWD • Czarni Połaniec: WLLLLLWWLL

League goals

Metric Stal Kraśnik Czarni Połaniec
HATHAT
GF total127199615
GF avg2.41.41.92.31.01.5
GA total7613111021
GA avg1.41.21.32.81.72.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStal KraśnikCzarni Połaniec
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%90%70%100%
1.560%40%30%60%
2.530%0%20%30%
3.520%0%20%10%
4.510%0%10%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStal KraśnikCzarni Połaniec
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score123033

Penalties

MetricStal KraśnikCzarni Połaniec
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricStal KraśnikCzarni Połaniec
Wins12
Draws10
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-45-22-4
Biggest losses0-22-11-53-1
Goals For5454
Goals Against2253

Model comparison

MetricStal KraśnikCzarni Połaniec
Form57%43%
Att50%50%
Def68%32%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total61.8%38.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Stal Kraśnik or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.97 @ 1xBet
Draw4.20 @ Superbet
Away3.80 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.27 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Superbet
No2.34 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Venue page • Stal Kraśnik vs Czarni Połaniec

Expected goals (λ): Stal Kraśnik = 2.27 (league 1.80), Czarni Połaniec = 0.92 (league 1.52)

Czarni Połaniec
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stal Kraśnik 0 4.1% 3.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.4% 8.6% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.6% 9.8% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.0% 7.4% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.5% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.9% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 13.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1