III Liga - Group 4 — Poland
Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 • Stadion MKS Czarni Polaniec
Match Finished

Czarni Połaniec

2 - 1

Świdniczanka Świdnik

Expected Goals
2.81 (league 1.80) 3.69 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.5% 14.7% 39.6%
best score tips
2 - 3
5.0%
3 - 3
4.7%
2 - 4
4.6%
Score & goals probability table
Świdniczanka Świdnik
0 1 2 3 4 5
Czarni Połaniec 0 0.2% 0.6% 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 0.9%
1 0.4% 1.6% 2.9% 3.5% 3.3% 2.4%
2 0.6% 2.2% 4.0% 5.0% 4.6% 3.4%
3 0.6% 2.1% 3.8% 4.7% 4.3% 3.2%
4 0.4% 1.4% 2.7% 3.3% 3.0% 2.2%
5 0.2% 0.8% 1.5% 1.8% 1.7% 1.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCzarni PołaniecŚwidniczanka Świdnik
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

82%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

94%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Czarni Połaniec Świdniczanka Świdnik
HATHAT
Played47116511
Wins50%14%27%17%40%27%
Draws0%14%9%33%20%27%
Loses50%71%64%50%40%45%

Form: Czarni Połaniec: WLLLLLWWLLD • Świdniczanka Świdnik: LLLDDLDLWWW

League goals

Metric Czarni Połaniec Świdniczanka Świdnik
HATHAT
GF total971691019
GF avg2.31.01.51.52.01.7
GA total11112291120
GA avg2.81.62.01.52.21.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCzarni PołaniecŚwidniczanka Świdnik
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%100%100%100%
1.527%55%36%73%
2.518%27%27%9%
3.518%9%9%0%
4.59%9%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCzarni PołaniecŚwidniczanka Świdnik
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score033000

Penalties

MetricCzarni PołaniecŚwidniczanka Świdnik
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricCzarni PołaniecŚwidniczanka Świdnik
Wins20
Draws02
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-22-44-12-3
Biggest losses1-53-11-23-1
Goals For5443
Goals Against5323

Model comparison

MetricCzarni PołaniecŚwidniczanka Świdnik
Form41%59%
Att48%52%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h64%36%
Goals64%36%
Total50.5%49.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Czarni Połaniec or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ 1xBet
Draw3.75 @ 1xBet
Away3.16 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.28 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Unibet
No2.35 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Venue page • Czarni Połaniec vs Świdniczanka Świdnik

Expected goals (λ): Czarni Połaniec = 2.81 (league 1.80), Świdniczanka Świdnik = 3.69 (league 1.52)

Świdniczanka Świdnik
0 1 2 3 4 5
Czarni Połaniec 0 0.2% 0.6% 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 0.9%
1 0.4% 1.6% 2.9% 3.5% 3.3% 2.4%
2 0.6% 2.2% 4.0% 5.0% 4.6% 3.4%
3 0.6% 2.1% 3.8% 4.7% 4.3% 3.2%
4 0.4% 1.4% 2.7% 3.3% 3.0% 2.2%
5 0.2% 0.8% 1.5% 1.8% 1.7% 1.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.5% · Draw 14.7% · Away win 39.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1