Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 15:00 • Stadion Miejski
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.20 (league 1.80) 1.34 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.4% 20.3% 22.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 1
8.6%
2 - 0
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Chełmianka Chełm
0 1 2 3 4 5
Star Starachowice 0 2.9% 3.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 6.4% 8.6% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.0% 9.4% 6.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3%
3 5.1% 6.9% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.8% 3.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.2% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStar StarachowiceChełmianka Chełm
Played55
Form73%33%
Attack67%33%
Defense67%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Star Starachowice Chełmianka Chełm
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins67%17%42%67%33%50%
Draws33%50%42%17%33%25%
Loses0%33%17%17%33%25%

Form: Star Starachowice: LWLDDWDWDDWW • Chełmianka Chełm: WWWWLWDDDWLL

League goals

Metric Star Starachowice Chełmianka Chełm
HATHAT
GF total1351881018
GF avg2.20.81.51.31.71.5
GA total771441115
GA avg1.21.21.20.71.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStar StarachowiceChełmianka Chełm
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%92%58%
1.542%50%33%33%
2.517%0%17%17%
3.58%0%8%8%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStar StarachowiceChełmianka Chełm
HATHAT
Clean sheets224325
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricStar StarachowiceChełmianka Chełm
Scored (total | %)3 | 75.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 25.00%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricStar StarachowiceChełmianka Chełm
Wins14
Draws23
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-12-00-3
Biggest losses2-01-25-1
Goals For4224
Goals Against2225

Model comparison

MetricStar StarachowiceChełmianka Chełm
Form69%31%
Att67%33%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h50%50%
Goals58%42%
Total61.5%38.5%

Advice: Double chance : Star Starachowice or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.47 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.56 @ Marathonbet
Away2.36 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.48 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.33 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.43 @ Marathonbet
No2.59 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Star Starachowice = 2.20 (league 1.80), Chełmianka Chełm = 1.34 (league 1.52)

Chełmianka Chełm
0 1 2 3 4 5
Star Starachowice 0 2.9% 3.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 6.4% 8.6% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.0% 9.4% 6.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3%
3 5.1% 6.9% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.8% 3.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.2% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.4% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 22.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1