Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 • Waldstadion Aplerbeck
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.68) 0.35 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.7% 42.0% 15.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
32.7%
1 - 0
25.3%
0 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Arminia II
0 1 2 3 4 5
ASC Dortmund 0 32.7% 11.3% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.3% 8.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.7% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricASC DortmundArminia II
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack53%33%
Defense100%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 04 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ASC Dortmund Arminia II
HATHAT
Played347336
Wins67%50%57%33%33%33%
Draws33%50%43%67%67%67%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: ASC Dortmund: DDWWDWW • Arminia II: WDDWDD

League goals

Metric ASC Dortmund Arminia II
HATHAT
GF total4610358
GF avg1.31.51.41.01.71.3
GA total112235
GA avg0.30.30.30.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineASC DortmundArminia II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%29%83%83%
1.529%0%33%0%
2.514%0%17%0%
3.514%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricASC DortmundArminia II
HATHAT
Clean sheets235101
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricASC DortmundArminia II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricASC DortmundArminia II
Wins21
Draws22
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-42-11-3
Biggest losses
Goals For2423
Goals Against1111

Model comparison

MetricASC DortmundArminia II
Form65%35%
Att62%38%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total65.3%34.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : ASC Dortmund or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ Marathonbet
Draw4.80 @ Marathonbet
Away4.05 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.21 @ Marathonbet
No3.74 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): ASC Dortmund = 0.77 (league 1.68), Arminia II = 0.35 (league 1.48)

Arminia II
0 1 2 3 4 5
ASC Dortmund 0 32.7% 11.3% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.3% 8.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.7% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.7% · Draw 42.0% · Away win 15.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1