Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 •
Waldstadion Aplerbeck
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.71)
0.34 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.4% | 42.5% | 15.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
33.4%
1 - 0
25.4%
0 - 1
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Arminia II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| ASC Dortmund | 0 | 33.4% | 11.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.4% | 8.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.6% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | ASC Dortmund | Arminia II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 47% |
| Attack | 53% | 33% |
| Defense | 100% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
58%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | ASC Dortmund | Arminia II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 50% | 57% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Draws | 33% | 50% | 43% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: ASC Dortmund: DDWWDWW • Arminia II: WDDWDD
League goals
| Metric | ASC Dortmund | Arminia II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | ASC Dortmund | Arminia II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 29% | 83% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | ASC Dortmund | Arminia II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | ASC Dortmund | Arminia II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | ASC Dortmund | Arminia II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-4 | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | ASC Dortmund | Arminia II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 65% | 35% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 100% | 0% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 65.3% | 34.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : ASC Dortmund or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.53 @ Marathonbet
Draw4.80 @ Marathonbet
Away4.05 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.21 @ Marathonbet
No3.74 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): ASC Dortmund = 0.76 (league 1.71), Arminia II = 0.34 (league 1.52)
| Arminia II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| ASC Dortmund | 0 | 33.4% | 11.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.4% | 8.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.6% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.4% · Draw 42.5% · Away win 15.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1
