Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 • Wersestadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.68) 2.57 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.7% 13.8% 74.8%
best score tips
0 - 2
13.6%
0 - 3
11.7%
0 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Vreden
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rot Weiss Ahlen 0 4.1% 10.6% 13.6% 11.7% 7.5% 3.9%
1 2.5% 6.5% 8.4% 7.2% 4.6% 2.4%
2 0.8% 2.0% 2.6% 2.2% 1.4% 0.7%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRot Weiss AhlenVreden
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack20%30%
Defense35%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rot Weiss Ahlen Vreden
HATHAT
Played448437
Wins25%25%25%50%0%29%
Draws0%25%13%0%67%29%
Loses75%50%63%50%33%43%

Form: Rot Weiss Ahlen: LWLDWLLL • Vreden: LDWDWLL

League goals

Metric Rot Weiss Ahlen Vreden
HATHAT
GF total336538
GF avg0.80.80.81.31.01.1
GA total158236410
GA avg3.82.02.91.51.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRot Weiss AhlenVreden
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%88%71%71%
1.513%63%43%43%
2.50%63%0%29%
3.50%50%0%0%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRot Weiss AhlenVreden
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score213112

Penalties

MetricRot Weiss AhlenVreden
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricRot Weiss AhlenVreden
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-12-0
Biggest losses1-64-11-33-2
Goals For2122
Goals Against6433

Model comparison

MetricRot Weiss AhlenVreden
Form36%64%
Att40%60%
Def32%68%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h80%20%
Goals77%23%
Total47.5%52.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Vreden

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rot Weiss Ahlen = 0.62 (league 1.68), Vreden = 2.57 (league 1.48)

Vreden
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rot Weiss Ahlen 0 4.1% 10.6% 13.6% 11.7% 7.5% 3.9%
1 2.5% 6.5% 8.4% 7.2% 4.6% 2.4%
2 0.8% 2.0% 2.6% 2.2% 1.4% 0.7%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.7% · Draw 13.8% · Away win 74.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1