Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 14:30 •
Waldstadion Aplerbeck
Expected Goals
3.53 (league 1.77)
1.00 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0% | 9.9% | 6.5% |
best score tips
3 - 0
7.9%
3 - 1
7.9%
4 - 0
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Rot Weiss Ahlen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| ASC Dortmund | 0 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.9% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 7.0% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | ASC Dortmund | Rot Weiss Ahlen |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 13% |
| Attack | 84% | 32% |
| Defense | 32% | 32% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | ASC Dortmund | Rot Weiss Ahlen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| Wins | 70% | 44% | 58% | 14% | 11% | 13% |
| Draws | 10% | 33% | 21% | 14% | 33% | 25% |
| Loses | 20% | 22% | 21% | 71% | 56% | 63% |
Form: ASC Dortmund: DDWWDWWWDWWLLWLWWWL • Rot Weiss Ahlen: LWLDWLLLLLDLDLLD
League goals
| Metric | ASC Dortmund | Rot Weiss Ahlen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 16 | 42 | 4 | 11 | 15 |
| GF avg | 2.6 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 13 | 11 | 24 | 19 | 22 | 41 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | ASC Dortmund | Rot Weiss Ahlen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 63% | 69% | 94% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 32% | 25% | 69% |
| 2.5 | 37% | 16% | 0% | 44% |
| 3.5 | 26% | 16% | 0% | 38% |
| 4.5 | 16% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | ASC Dortmund | Rot Weiss Ahlen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | ASC Dortmund | Rot Weiss Ahlen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | ASC Dortmund | Rot Weiss Ahlen |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-2 | 0-4 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 4-1 | 1-6 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | ASC Dortmund | Rot Weiss Ahlen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 82% | 18% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 65.2% | 34.8% |
Advice: Combo Winner : ASC Dortmund and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): ASC Dortmund = 3.53 (league 1.77), Rot Weiss Ahlen = 1.00 (league 1.56)
| Rot Weiss Ahlen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| ASC Dortmund | 0 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.9% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 7.0% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.0% · Draw 9.9% · Away win 6.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1