Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 •
Volksbank-Arena
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.70)
1.77 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.7% | 22.8% | 42.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.9%
1 - 2
8.7%
2 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Victoria Clarholz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Schermbeck | 0 | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 5.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Schermbeck carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 21 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Schermbeck -0.6, Victoria Clarholz -12.5.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Schermbeck
vs
Victoria Clarholz
Elo gapSchermbeck +21
Home / draw / away38% / 28% / 34%
Expected home share53%
Combined Elo2963
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2963
Elo home share
53%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Schermbeck | Victoria Clarholz |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1474.6 | 1488.4 |
| Form Elo | 1485.9 | 1485.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1466.6 | 1489.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1480.7 | 1487 |
| Defense Elo | 1473.9 | 1486.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -0.6 | -12.5 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Schermbeck last-5 Elo change: -0.6; Victoria Clarholz last-5 Elo change: -12.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Schermbeck | Victoria Clarholz |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 33% |
| Attack | 26% | 53% |
| Defense | 63% | 37% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Schermbeck | Victoria Clarholz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 20% | 27% | 23% | 38% | 33% | 35% |
| Draws | 40% | 20% | 30% | 19% | 27% | 23% |
| Loses | 40% | 53% | 47% | 44% | 40% | 42% |
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Victoria ClarholzLDWWWWLLDLWWLLLLLLWDDWWLDWDWLLD
League goals
| Metric | Schermbeck | Victoria Clarholz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 22 | 43 | 23 | 22 | 45 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 26 | 27 | 53 | 26 | 28 | 54 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Schermbeck | Victoria Clarholz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 87% | 87% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 53% | 45% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 23% | 13% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 10% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Schermbeck | Victoria Clarholz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Schermbeck | Victoria Clarholz |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Schermbeck | Victoria Clarholz |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 4-2 | 0-3 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Schermbeck | Victoria Clarholz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 63% | 37% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 65% | 35% |
| Total | 55.2% | 44.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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