Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 11:30 •
Marschweg Stadion
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 2.06)
0.94 (league 1.71)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.4% | 27.1% | 25.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Nordmark Satrup | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kaltenkirchen | 0 | 9.6% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.5% | 12.7% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kaltenkirchen | Nordmark Satrup |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 60% |
| Attack | 92% | 75% |
| Defense | 17% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kaltenkirchen | Nordmark Satrup | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Wins | 40% | 0% | 22% | 33% | 40% | 38% |
| Draws | 20% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 40% | 100% | 67% | 67% | 60% | 63% |
Form: Kaltenkirchen: LLLLDLWLW • Nordmark Satrup: LLLLLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Kaltenkirchen | Nordmark Satrup | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 5 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 8 | 13 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kaltenkirchen | Nordmark Satrup | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 89% | 75% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 78% | 38% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 56% | 13% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 11% | 13% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kaltenkirchen | Nordmark Satrup | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kaltenkirchen | Nordmark Satrup |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kaltenkirchen | Nordmark Satrup |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 1-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kaltenkirchen | Nordmark Satrup |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 50.5% | 49.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Kaltenkirchen or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Kaltenkirchen = 1.40 (league 2.06), Nordmark Satrup = 0.94 (league 1.71)
| Nordmark Satrup | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kaltenkirchen | 0 | 9.6% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.5% | 12.7% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.4% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 25.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1