Sun, May 3 2026 • 13:00 •
Sportanlage Waldeck
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.95)
2.30 (league 1.72)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.9% | 19.8% | 51.8% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.8%
1 - 1
7.6%
2 - 2
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Phönix L. II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Eutiner SV | 0 | 2.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Phönix L. II carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 54 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Eutiner SV +3.8, Phönix L. II -2.3.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Eutiner SV
vs
Phönix L. II
Elo gapPhönix L. II +54
Home / draw / away32% / 24% / 44%
Expected home share42%
Combined Elo2957
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2957
Elo home share
42%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Eutiner SV | Phönix L. II |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1434.2 | 1522.8 |
| Form Elo | 1433.5 | 1524.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1482.3 | 1518.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1399.6 | 1638.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1363.6 | 1408.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +3.8 | -2.3 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Eutiner SV last-5 Elo change: +3.8; Phönix L. II last-5 Elo change: -2.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Eutiner SV | Phönix L. II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 29% | 100% |
| Defense | 53% | 18% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 17 | 3.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
76%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Eutiner SV | Phönix L. II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 14 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 33% | 7% | 19% | 38% | 54% | 46% |
| Draws | 17% | 29% | 23% | 31% | 8% | 19% |
| Loses | 50% | 64% | 58% | 31% | 38% | 35% |
Eutiner SVWLLLWDWLLLDLLLDWLLDLDLDWLL
Phönix L. IILLWWDWDWLWDWWWLLLLWWDLWLDW
League goals
| Metric | Eutiner SV | Phönix L. II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 11 | 26 | 28 | 29 | 57 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 21 | 35 | 56 | 24 | 30 | 54 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Eutiner SV | Phönix L. II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 54% | 92% | 77% | 96% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 65% | 62% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 31% | 42% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 12% | 15% | 19% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Eutiner SV | Phönix L. II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Eutiner SV | Phönix L. II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Eutiner SV | Phönix L. II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-1 | 9-1 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 7-0 | 1-4 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 9 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Eutiner SV | Phönix L. II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 23% | 77% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 39% | 61% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 37.4% | 62.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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