Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 16:00 • Stadion Kuban
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.26 (league 1.20) 0.41 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.8% 15.1% 5.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
17.6%
1 - 0
15.6%
3 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Rodina Moskva II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Urozhay 0 6.9% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.6% 6.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.6% 7.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.2% 5.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.5% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUrozhayRodina Moskva II
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack36%27%
Defense64%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Urozhay Rodina Moskva II
HATHAT
Played257347
Wins50%20%29%67%25%43%
Draws50%40%43%0%25%14%
Loses0%40%29%33%50%43%

Form: Urozhay: WLDDDLW • Rodina Moskva II: WWDWLLL

League goals

Metric Urozhay Rodina Moskva II
HATHAT
GF total347538
GF avg1.50.81.01.70.81.1
GA total1673710
GA avg0.51.21.01.01.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUrozhayRodina Moskva II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%57%57%86%
1.529%29%43%14%
2.50%14%14%14%
3.50%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUrozhayRodina Moskva II
HATHAT
Clean sheets123011
Failed to score022123

Penalties

MetricUrozhayRodina Moskva II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricUrozhayRodina Moskva II
Wins12
Draws31
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-10-2
Biggest losses—3-10-15-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against1315

Model comparison

MetricUrozhayRodina Moskva II
Form60%40%
Att57%43%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h67%33%
Goals50%50%
Total64.7%35.3%

Advice: Double chance : Urozhay or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Fonbet
Draw2.85 @ Fonbet
Away4.10 @ Fonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Fonbet
Under 2.51.72 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Marathonbet
No2.00 @ Fonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Urozhay = 2.26 (league 1.20), Rodina Moskva II = 0.41 (league 0.96)

Rodina Moskva II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Urozhay 0 6.9% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.6% 6.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.6% 7.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.2% 5.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.5% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.8% · Draw 15.1% · Away win 5.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1