Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 11:00 • Stadion Sputnik
Match Finished
3 - 1
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.20) 1.04 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.7% 29.0% 32.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
1 - 0
12.9%
0 - 1
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Murom
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kaluga 0 11.0% 11.4% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.9% 13.3% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.5% 7.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.9% 3.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKalugaMurom
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack80%80%
Defense50%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kaluga Murom
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins75%33%57%25%33%29%
Draws0%33%14%50%67%57%
Loses25%33%29%25%0%14%

Form: Kaluga: LWWDWWL • Murom: DLWDDWD

League goals

Metric Kaluga Murom
HATHAT
GF total82107310
GF avg2.00.71.41.81.01.4
GA total437325
GA avg1.01.01.00.80.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKalugaMurom
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%71%57%
1.529%29%29%14%
2.514%0%14%0%
3.514%0%14%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKalugaMurom
HATHAT
Clean sheets112123
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricKalugaMurom
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricKalugaMurom
Wins21
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-15-00-1
Biggest losses1-22-00-1—
Goals For4152
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricKalugaMurom
Form53%47%
Att50%50%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h100%0%
Goals86%14%
Total54.4%45.6%

Advice: Double chance : Kaluga or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Fonbet
Draw3.20 @ Marathonbet
Away3.70 @ Fonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Fonbet
Under 2.51.65 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Marathonbet
No1.90 @ Fonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kaluga = 1.17 (league 1.20), Murom = 1.04 (league 0.96)

Murom
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kaluga 0 11.0% 11.4% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.9% 13.3% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.5% 7.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.9% 3.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.7% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 32.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1