Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 09:00 • Arena Khimki
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.20) 0.83 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.1% 31.3% 27.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.0%
0 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Kaluga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rodina Moskva II 0 14.7% 12.2% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.0% 13.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.7% 7.2% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRodina Moskva IIKaluga
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack25%100%
Defense13%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rodina Moskva II Kaluga
HATHAT
Played46106410
Wins50%33%40%67%50%60%
Draws25%33%30%17%25%20%
Loses25%33%30%17%25%20%

Form: Rodina Moskva II: WWDWLLLDDW • Kaluga: LWWDWWLWWD

League goals

Metric Rodina Moskva II Kaluga
HATHAT
GF total551012416
GF avg1.30.81.02.01.01.6
GA total38116410
GA avg0.81.31.11.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRodina Moskva IIKaluga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%70%90%80%
1.540%10%40%20%
2.510%10%20%0%
3.50%10%10%0%
4.50%10%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRodina Moskva IIKaluga
HATHAT
Clean sheets123112
Failed to score235011

Penalties

MetricRodina Moskva IIKaluga
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricRodina Moskva IIKaluga
Wins22
Draws21
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-24-11-2
Biggest losses0-15-01-22-0
Goals For3242
Goals Against1522

Model comparison

MetricRodina Moskva IIKaluga
Form33%67%
Att17%83%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total42.8%57.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Kaluga

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.26 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ Superbet
Away2.87 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.83 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Superbet
No2.02 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rodina Moskva II = 1.09 (league 1.20), Kaluga = 0.83 (league 0.96)

Kaluga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rodina Moskva II 0 14.7% 12.2% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.0% 13.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.7% 7.2% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.1% · Draw 31.3% · Away win 27.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1