Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 11:00 • Orbita stadium
Match Finished
3 - 1
Expected Goals
2.51 (league 1.20) 1.04 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.1% 16.9% 13.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.4%
2 - 0
9.1%
3 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Urozhay
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kaluga 0 2.9% 3.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.2% 7.5% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.1% 9.4% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.6% 7.9% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.8% 4.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKalugaUrozhay
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack46%31%
Defense62%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kaluga Urozhay
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins67%33%50%33%17%25%
Draws17%17%17%67%33%50%
Loses17%50%33%0%50%25%

Form: Kaluga: LWWDWWLWWDLL • Urozhay: WLDDDLWDDDLW

League goals

Metric Kaluga Urozhay
HATHAT
GF total124165611
GF avg2.00.71.30.81.00.9
GA total66122911
GA avg1.01.01.00.31.50.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKalugaUrozhay
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%83%58%50%
1.533%17%33%25%
2.517%0%0%17%
3.58%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKalugaUrozhay
HATHAT
Clean sheets112426
Failed to score033325

Penalties

MetricKalugaUrozhay
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricKalugaUrozhay
Wins21
Draws13
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-22-00-2
Biggest losses1-22-0—3-1
Goals For4222
Goals Against2213

Model comparison

MetricKalugaUrozhay
Form54%46%
Att60%40%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h20%80%
Goals17%83%
Total44.5%55.5%

Advice: Double chance : Kaluga or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ 1xBet
Draw3.28 @ Marathonbet
Away4.22 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.73 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ 1xBet
No1.84 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kaluga = 2.51 (league 1.20), Urozhay = 1.04 (league 0.96)

Urozhay
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kaluga 0 2.9% 3.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.2% 7.5% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.1% 9.4% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.6% 7.9% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.8% 4.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.1% · Draw 16.9% · Away win 13.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1