Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 12:00 • Trudovye Rezervy Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.20) 1.81 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.2% 23.0% 49.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 1
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Murom
0 1 2 3 4 5
Avangard Kursk 0 4.6% 8.4% 7.7% 4.6% 2.1% 0.8%
1 5.8% 10.6% 9.6% 5.8% 2.6% 1.0%
2 3.7% 6.6% 6.0% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.5% 2.8% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAvangard KurskMurom
Played55
Form47%7%
Attack46%15%
Defense54%23%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Avangard Kursk Murom
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins17%17%17%17%17%17%
Draws0%50%25%33%50%42%
Loses83%33%58%50%33%42%

Form: Avangard Kursk: LLLLDLDLLWWD • Murom: DLWDDWDLLDLL

League goals

Metric Avangard Kursk Murom
HATHAT
GF total65118412
GF avg1.00.80.91.30.71.0
GA total156216915
GA avg2.51.01.81.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAvangard KurskMurom
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%92%58%67%
1.517%58%17%33%
2.58%17%8%17%
3.50%8%8%8%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAvangard KurskMurom
HATHAT
Clean sheets011134
Failed to score224235

Penalties

MetricAvangard KurskMurom
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAvangard KurskMurom
Wins21
Draws12
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-25-00-1
Biggest losses0-42-11-24-0
Goals For3252
Goals Against4224

Model comparison

MetricAvangard KurskMurom
Form88%13%
Att75%25%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total61.5%38.8%

Advice: Double chance : Avangard Kursk or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.56 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.28 @ Marathonbet
Away2.42 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.85 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Marathonbet
No2.06 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Avangard Kursk = 1.25 (league 1.20), Murom = 1.81 (league 0.96)

Murom
0 1 2 3 4 5
Avangard Kursk 0 4.6% 8.4% 7.7% 4.6% 2.1% 0.8%
1 5.8% 10.6% 9.6% 5.8% 2.6% 1.0%
2 3.7% 6.6% 6.0% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.5% 2.8% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.2% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 49.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1