Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 13:00 • Roshchino Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.91 (league 1.32) 2.60 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.0% 18.5% 48.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.1%
2 - 2
6.8%
1 - 3
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Tyumen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leningradets 0 1.1% 2.9% 3.7% 3.2% 2.1% 1.1%
1 2.1% 5.5% 7.1% 6.2% 4.0% 2.1%
2 2.0% 5.2% 6.8% 5.9% 3.8% 2.0%
3 1.3% 3.3% 4.3% 3.7% 2.4% 1.3%
4 0.6% 1.6% 2.1% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6%
5 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeningradetsTyumen
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack40%87%
Defense67%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leningradets Tyumen
HATHAT
Played549459
Wins40%25%33%50%40%44%
Draws20%0%11%25%0%11%
Loses40%75%56%25%60%44%

Form: Leningradets: WLDLLLWLW • Tyumen: LWLWWWLLD

League goals

Metric Leningradets Tyumen
HATHAT
GF total9110101121
GF avg1.80.31.12.52.22.3
GA total66127714
GA avg1.21.51.31.81.41.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeningradetsTyumen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%89%78%
1.533%44%67%44%
2.511%11%33%33%
3.50%11%22%0%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeningradetsTyumen
HATHAT
Clean sheets213112
Failed to score033011

Penalties

MetricLeningradetsTyumen
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricLeningradetsTyumen
Wins13
Draws10
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-14-10-6
Biggest losses1-24-02-33-2
Goals For3146
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricLeningradetsTyumen
Form46%54%
Att32%68%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h50%50%
Goals33%67%
Total44.7%55.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tyumen

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.29 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.35 @ Marathonbet
Away2.67 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.24 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.47 @ Marathonbet
No2.47 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Leningradets = 1.91 (league 1.32), Tyumen = 2.60 (league 1.01)

Tyumen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leningradets 0 1.1% 2.9% 3.7% 3.2% 2.1% 1.1%
1 2.1% 5.5% 7.1% 6.2% 4.0% 2.1%
2 2.0% 5.2% 6.8% 5.9% 3.8% 2.0%
3 1.3% 3.3% 4.3% 3.7% 2.4% 1.3%
4 0.6% 1.6% 2.1% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6%
5 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.0% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 48.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1