Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Central'nyj Stadion Mashuk
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.32) 1.06 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.7% 32.1% 42.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.2%
0 - 0
16.2%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Novosibirsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mashuk-KMV 0 16.2% 17.2% 9.2% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.3% 13.0% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 4.6% 4.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMashuk-KMVNovosibirsk
Played55
Form87%87%
Attack67%80%
Defense60%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mashuk-KMV Novosibirsk
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins40%75%56%60%50%56%
Draws60%25%44%20%25%22%
Loses0%0%0%20%25%22%

Form: Mashuk-KMV: DWDDWWWWD • Novosibirsk: DLLWDWWWW

League goals

Metric Mashuk-KMV Novosibirsk
HATHAT
GF total581310717
GF avg1.02.01.42.01.81.9
GA total358347
GA avg0.61.30.90.61.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMashuk-KMVNovosibirsk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%56%78%78%
1.556%22%44%0%
2.511%11%33%0%
3.50%0%33%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMashuk-KMVNovosibirsk
HATHAT
Clean sheets314202
Failed to score202112

Penalties

MetricMashuk-KMVNovosibirsk
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricMashuk-KMVNovosibirsk
Wins41
Draws21
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-24-01-4
Biggest losses——0-11-0
Goals For2344
Goals Against2311

Model comparison

MetricMashuk-KMVNovosibirsk
Form50%50%
Att45%55%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total45.0%55.0%

Advice: Double chance : Mashuk-KMV or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ 1xBet
Draw3.24 @ Marathonbet
Away2.86 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.80 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Marathonbet
No2.00 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mashuk-KMV = 0.76 (league 1.32), Novosibirsk = 1.06 (league 1.01)

Novosibirsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mashuk-KMV 0 16.2% 17.2% 9.2% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.3% 13.0% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 4.6% 4.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.7% · Draw 32.1% · Away win 42.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1