Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 09:00 • Stadion Spartak
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.32) 0.39 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.1% 25.1% 9.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.4%
2 - 0
17.0%
0 - 0
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
Volgar Astrakhan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novosibirsk 0 14.8% 5.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.4% 8.8% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.0% 6.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.6% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNovosibirskVolgar Astrakhan
Played55
Form60%87%
Attack100%100%
Defense20%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Novosibirsk Volgar Astrakhan
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins67%33%50%67%33%50%
Draws17%17%17%33%17%25%
Loses17%50%33%0%50%25%

Form: Novosibirsk: DLLWDWWWWLWL • Volgar Astrakhan: DLWLDLWWDWWW

League goals

Metric Novosibirsk Volgar Astrakhan
HATHAT
GF total128208513
GF avg2.01.31.71.30.81.1
GA total3710369
GA avg0.51.20.80.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNovosibirskVolgar Astrakhan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%67%58%
1.542%8%33%17%
2.525%0%8%0%
3.525%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNovosibirskVolgar Astrakhan
HATHAT
Clean sheets303415
Failed to score123134

Penalties

MetricNovosibirskVolgar Astrakhan
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricNovosibirskVolgar Astrakhan
Wins42
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-42-00-2
Biggest losses0-12-12-0
Goals For4432
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricNovosibirskVolgar Astrakhan
Form41%59%
Att46%54%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h13%88%
Goals25%75%
Total39.3%60.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Volgar Astrakhan and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.13 @ 1xBet
Draw3.15 @ Marathonbet
Away3.20 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.65 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ Marathonbet
No1.85 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Novosibirsk = 1.52 (league 1.32), Volgar Astrakhan = 0.39 (league 1.01)

Volgar Astrakhan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novosibirsk 0 14.8% 5.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.4% 8.8% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.0% 6.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.6% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.1% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 9.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1