Liga 1 — Moldova
Fri, Nov 7 2025 • 11:00 • Joma Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.92) 2.97 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.3% 15.4% 61.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.8%
1 - 3
7.7%
1 - 4
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
FCM Ungheni
0 1 2 3 4 5
Victoria Bardar 0 1.3% 3.7% 5.5% 5.4% 4.0% 2.4%
1 1.8% 5.3% 7.8% 7.7% 5.7% 3.4%
2 1.3% 3.7% 5.5% 5.4% 4.0% 2.4%
3 0.6% 1.8% 2.6% 2.6% 1.9% 1.1%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVictoria BardarFCM Ungheni
Played55
Form7%60%
Attack21%42%
Defense0%84%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)19 | 3.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

81%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Victoria Bardar FCM Ungheni
HATHAT
Played67136713
Wins17%0%8%67%29%46%
Draws17%0%8%17%14%15%
Loses67%100%85%17%57%38%

Form: Victoria Bardar: LWLLLLLLLDLLL • FCM Ungheni: LWLWLWDDWLLWW

League goals

Metric Victoria Bardar FCM Ungheni
HATHAT
GF total10414171027
GF avg1.70.61.12.81.42.1
GA total20264691120
GA avg3.33.73.51.51.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVictoria BardarFCM Ungheni
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%100%85%85%
1.538%85%77%46%
2.50%77%46%23%
3.50%38%0%0%
4.50%31%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVictoria BardarFCM Ungheni
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score134022

Penalties

MetricVictoria BardarFCM Ungheni
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricVictoria BardarFCM Ungheni
Wins11
Draws12
Losses72

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—3-00-2
Biggest losses2-67-02-33-2
Goals For2133
Goals Against6733

Model comparison

MetricVictoria BardarFCM Ungheni
Form10%90%
Att33%67%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h60%40%
Goals52%48%
Total33.2%66.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FCM Ungheni

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Victoria Bardar = 1.41 (league 1.92), FCM Ungheni = 2.97 (league 1.56)

FCM Ungheni
0 1 2 3 4 5
Victoria Bardar 0 1.3% 3.7% 5.5% 5.4% 4.0% 2.4%
1 1.8% 5.3% 7.8% 7.7% 5.7% 3.4%
2 1.3% 3.7% 5.5% 5.4% 4.0% 2.4%
3 0.6% 1.8% 2.6% 2.6% 1.9% 1.1%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.3% · Draw 15.4% · Away win 61.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1