Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadion MIS
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.50)
1.82 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.6% | 22.4% | 60.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.5%
0 - 2
12.3%
1 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Alay | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ilbirs | 0 | 7.5% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 5.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ilbirs | Alay |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 47% |
| Attack | 38% | 77% |
| Defense | 15% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ilbirs | Alay | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 10 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 29% | 10% | 18% | 67% | 56% | 61% |
| Draws | 29% | 10% | 18% | 0% | 22% | 11% |
| Loses | 43% | 80% | 65% | 33% | 22% | 28% |
Form: Ilbirs: LDWWDLLLLLDLLLLWL • Alay: WWWWWLWWWWLLDWDWLL
League goals
| Metric | Ilbirs | Alay | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 28 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 12 | 21 | 33 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ilbirs | Alay | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 59% | 82% | 83% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 71% | 44% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 29% | 17% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 12% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ilbirs | Alay | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ilbirs | Alay |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ilbirs | Alay |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ilbirs | Alay |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30% | 70% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 39% | 61% |
| Poisson Distribution | 28% | 72% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 30.5% | 69.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Alay
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ilbirs = 0.78 (league 1.50), Alay = 1.82 (league 1.31)
| Alay | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ilbirs | 0 | 7.5% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 5.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.6% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 60.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1