Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 13:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.70 (league 1.50)
0.98 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.6% | 24.0% | 21.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
11.7%
1 - 1
11.4%
2 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Neftchi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ozgon | 0 | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.7% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.9% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ozgon | Neftchi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 40% |
| Attack | 73% | 45% |
| Defense | 73% | 27% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ozgon | Neftchi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 67% | 22% | 44% | 22% | 30% | 26% |
| Draws | 22% | 22% | 22% | 11% | 30% | 21% |
| Loses | 11% | 56% | 33% | 67% | 40% | 53% |
Form: Ozgon: LLWDDLDDWWLLWWWLWW • Neftchi: LWWLDWDDLLDLLLLWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Ozgon | Neftchi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 9 | 24 | 11 | 16 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 7 | 12 | 19 | 14 | 15 | 29 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ozgon | Neftchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 50% | 74% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 28% | 37% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 17% | 16% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 11% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ozgon | Neftchi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ozgon | Neftchi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ozgon | Neftchi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ozgon | Neftchi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 61.0% | 39.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Ozgon or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ozgon = 1.70 (league 1.50), Neftchi = 0.98 (league 1.31)
| Neftchi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ozgon | 0 | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.7% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.9% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.6% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 21.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1