Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.49) 1.61 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.9% 24.7% 46.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
0 - 1
9.9%
1 - 2
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Talant
0 1 2 3 4 5
Neftchi 0 6.2% 9.9% 7.9% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5%
1 7.3% 11.7% 9.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 4.3% 6.9% 5.5% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.7% 2.7% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNeftchiTalant
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack36%73%
Defense27%9%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Neftchi Talant
HATHAT
Played111021101020
Wins18%30%24%40%40%40%
Draws9%30%19%10%10%10%
Loses73%40%57%50%50%50%

Form: Neftchi: LWWLDWDDLLDLLLLWWLLLL • Talant: WDLLDLLLLWWWWWLLWWLL

League goals

Metric Neftchi Talant
HATHAT
GF total121729121426
GF avg1.11.71.41.21.41.3
GA total171633131629
GA avg1.51.61.61.31.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNeftchiTalant
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%80%65%
1.538%43%35%55%
2.514%24%10%25%
3.510%5%5%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNeftchiTalant
HATHAT
Clean sheets123437
Failed to score516134

Penalties

MetricNeftchiTalant
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricNeftchiTalant
Wins25
Draws21
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-53-00-2
Biggest losses1-34-10-33-0
Goals For4534
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricNeftchiTalant
Form33%67%
Att33%67%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h38%62%
Goals42%58%
Total40.3%59.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Talant

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Neftchi = 1.18 (league 1.49), Talant = 1.61 (league 1.31)

Talant
0 1 2 3 4 5
Neftchi 0 6.2% 9.9% 7.9% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5%
1 7.3% 11.7% 9.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 4.3% 6.9% 5.5% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.7% 2.7% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.9% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 46.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1