Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 15:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.49)
0.96 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.6% | 30.1% | 31.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.0%
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Alga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Neftchi | 0 | 12.6% | 12.2% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.0% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.7% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Neftchi | Alga |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 33% |
| Attack | 43% | 57% |
| Defense | 14% | 14% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Neftchi | Alga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 11 | 23 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| Wins | 25% | 27% | 26% | 31% | 18% | 25% |
| Draws | 8% | 27% | 17% | 15% | 27% | 21% |
| Loses | 67% | 45% | 57% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
Form: Neftchi: LWWLDWDDLLDLLLLWWLLLLWL • Alga: LLLDLLWWLLWLWLWLDLDWLDLD
League goals
| Metric | Neftchi | Alga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 17 | 30 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 17 | 17 | 34 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Neftchi | Alga | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 83% | 71% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 39% | 21% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 22% | 4% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Neftchi | Alga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Neftchi | Alga |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Neftchi | Alga |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-5 | 6-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-1 | 0-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Neftchi | Alga |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 62% | 38% |
| Total | 54.3% | 45.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Neftchi or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Neftchi = 1.11 (league 1.49), Alga = 0.96 (league 1.31)
| Alga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Neftchi | 0 | 12.6% | 12.2% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.0% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.7% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.6% · Draw 30.1% · Away win 31.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1