Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.80 (league 1.50)
1.14 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.6% | 23.2% | 24.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Neftchi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alay | 0 | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.5% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Alay | Neftchi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 31% | 31% |
| Defense | 38% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Alay | Neftchi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| Wins | 58% | 54% | 56% | 29% | 27% | 28% |
| Draws | 17% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 27% | 20% |
| Loses | 25% | 31% | 28% | 57% | 45% | 52% |
Form: Alay: WWWWWLWWWWLLDWDWLLWWDLLWD • Neftchi: LWWLDWDDLLDLLLLWWLLLLWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Alay | Neftchi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 18 | 40 | 16 | 17 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 12 | 14 | 26 | 19 | 17 | 36 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Alay | Neftchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 68% | 72% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 32% | 36% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 4% | 12% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 16% | 0% | 8% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Alay | Neftchi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Alay | Neftchi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Alay | Neftchi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Alay | Neftchi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 56.5% | 43.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Alay or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Alay = 1.80 (league 1.50), Neftchi = 1.14 (league 1.31)
| Neftchi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alay | 0 | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.5% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.6% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 24.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1