Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 09:00 • Stadion Spartak
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.31) 0.39 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.6% 29.1% 11.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.0%
0 - 0
18.5%
2 - 0
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novosibirsk 0 18.5% 7.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.0% 9.4% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.6% 6.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.7% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNovosibirskAlaniya Vladikavkaz
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack27%27%
Defense60%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Novosibirsk Alaniya Vladikavkaz
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins57%29%43%29%29%29%
Draws14%14%14%14%14%14%
Loses29%57%43%57%57%57%

Form: Novosibirsk: DLLWDWWWWLWLLL • Alaniya Vladikavkaz: LWWDLLLLLLWDWL

League goals

Metric Novosibirsk Alaniya Vladikavkaz
HATHAT
GF total129217512
GF avg1.71.31.51.00.70.9
GA total491313720
GA avg0.61.30.91.91.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNovosibirskAlaniya Vladikavkaz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%79%57%71%
1.536%14%29%43%
2.521%0%0%14%
3.521%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNovosibirskAlaniya Vladikavkaz
HATHAT
Clean sheets303224
Failed to score224246

Penalties

MetricNovosibirskAlaniya Vladikavkaz
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricNovosibirskAlaniya Vladikavkaz
Wins42
Draws11
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-42-00-2
Biggest losses0-12-10-42-0
Goals For4422
Goals Against1242

Model comparison

MetricNovosibirskAlaniya Vladikavkaz
Form30%70%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h100%0%
Goals82%18%
Total57.6%42.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Novosibirsk or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ 1xBet
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away3.92 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.81 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ 188Bet
No1.96 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Novosibirsk = 1.30 (league 1.31), Alaniya Vladikavkaz = 0.39 (league 1.08)

Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novosibirsk 0 18.5% 7.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.0% 9.4% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.6% 6.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.7% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.6% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 11.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1