Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 10:00 • SPA Bürgerpark Platz 2
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.37 (league 2.49) 2.27 (league 1.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.4% 15.4% 22.1%
best score tips
3 - 2
5.8%
2 - 2
5.2%
3 - 1
5.1%
Score & goals probability table
Aumund-Vegesack
0 1 2 3 4 5
Geestemünde 0 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
1 1.2% 2.7% 3.1% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6%
2 2.0% 4.6% 5.2% 3.9% 2.2% 1.0%
3 2.3% 5.1% 5.8% 4.4% 2.5% 1.1%
4 1.9% 4.3% 4.9% 3.7% 2.1% 1.0%
5 1.3% 2.9% 3.3% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGeestemündeAumund-Vegesack
Played55
Form33%7%
Attack27%27%
Defense50%32%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.215 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

64%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Geestemünde Aumund-Vegesack
HATHAT
Played5510459
Wins60%20%40%25%20%22%
Draws20%40%30%25%0%11%
Loses20%40%30%50%80%67%

Form: Geestemünde: DLWWWLLDWD • Aumund-Vegesack: LWWLLLLLD

League goals

Metric Geestemünde Aumund-Vegesack
HATHAT
GF total154194913
GF avg3.00.81.91.01.81.4
GA total1292181422
GA avg2.41.82.12.02.82.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGeestemündeAumund-Vegesack
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%70%67%89%
1.540%50%67%78%
2.530%40%11%56%
3.520%30%0%11%
4.520%20%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGeestemündeAumund-Vegesack
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score123213

Penalties

MetricGeestemündeAumund-Vegesack
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricGeestemündeAumund-Vegesack
Wins32
Draws10
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-12-01-3
Biggest losses1-54-10-35-2
Goals For6223
Goals Against5435

Model comparison

MetricGeestemündeAumund-Vegesack
Form83%17%
Att50%50%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h40%60%
Goals45%55%
Total55.7%44.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Geestemünde or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Geestemünde = 3.37 (league 2.49), Aumund-Vegesack = 2.27 (league 1.90)

Aumund-Vegesack
0 1 2 3 4 5
Geestemünde 0 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
1 1.2% 2.7% 3.1% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6%
2 2.0% 4.6% 5.2% 3.9% 2.2% 1.0%
3 2.3% 5.1% 5.8% 4.4% 2.5% 1.1%
4 1.9% 4.3% 4.9% 3.7% 2.1% 1.0%
5 1.3% 2.9% 3.3% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.4% · Draw 15.4% · Away win 22.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1