Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 10:00 • SPA Bürgerpark Platz 2
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.19 (league 2.47) 1.51 (league 1.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.9% 9.3% 7.9%
best score tips
4 - 1
6.5%
3 - 1
6.2%
5 - 1
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
Vatan Sport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Geestemünde 0 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 1.4% 2.1% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
2 2.9% 4.4% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
3 4.1% 6.2% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 4.3% 6.5% 4.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
5 3.6% 5.4% 4.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGeestemündeVatan Sport
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack60%47%
Defense27%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.219 | 3.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

67%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Geestemünde Vatan Sport
HATHAT
Played68148614
Wins67%25%43%50%0%29%
Draws17%25%21%13%0%7%
Loses17%50%36%38%100%64%

Form: Geestemünde: DLWWWLLDWDWLWL • Vatan Sport: LWLDLLWLWLLLWL

League goals

Metric Geestemünde Vatan Sport
HATHAT
GF total1792615823
GF avg2.81.11.91.91.31.6
GA total131730222244
GA avg2.22.12.12.83.73.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGeestemündeVatan Sport
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%79%79%100%
1.550%50%57%86%
2.521%43%21%57%
3.514%29%7%29%
4.514%14%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGeestemündeVatan Sport
HATHAT
Clean sheets123000
Failed to score123213

Penalties

MetricGeestemündeVatan Sport
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricGeestemündeVatan Sport
Wins31
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-24-1
Biggest losses1-54-10-77-1
Goals For6242
Goals Against5477

Model comparison

MetricGeestemündeVatan Sport
Form70%30%
Att56%44%
Def63%37%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h71%29%
Goals59%41%
Total65.5%34.5%

Advice: Combo Winner : Geestemünde and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Geestemünde = 4.19 (league 2.47), Vatan Sport = 1.51 (league 1.90)

Vatan Sport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Geestemünde 0 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 1.4% 2.1% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
2 2.9% 4.4% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
3 4.1% 6.2% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 4.3% 6.5% 4.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
5 3.6% 5.4% 4.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.9% · Draw 9.3% · Away win 7.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1