Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 15:00 • Estadio Cruz do Reguengo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.54) 0.53 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.0% 41.6% 24.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.9%
1 - 0
20.3%
0 - 1
15.8%
Score & goals probability table
Celoricense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vilaverdense 0 29.9% 15.8% 4.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.3% 10.7% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.9% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVilaverdenseCeloricense
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack47%73%
Defense80%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vilaverdense Celoricense
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins50%0%25%60%33%50%
Draws0%75%38%20%33%25%
Loses50%25%38%20%33%25%

Form: Vilaverdense: DLLDWWDL • Celoricense: LWWWLDDW

League goals

Metric Vilaverdense Celoricense
HATHAT
GF total61716218
GF avg1.50.30.93.20.72.3
GA total3259211
GA avg0.80.50.61.80.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVilaverdenseCeloricense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%88%75%
1.525%13%50%50%
2.513%0%38%13%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVilaverdenseCeloricense
HATHAT
Clean sheets224022
Failed to score134011

Penalties

MetricVilaverdenseCeloricense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricVilaverdenseCeloricense
Wins23
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—5-10-1
Biggest losses1-21-01-22-1
Goals For3151
Goals Against2132

Model comparison

MetricVilaverdenseCeloricense
Form50%50%
Att39%61%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total54.3%45.8%

Advice: Double chance : Vilaverdense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.47 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ 10Bet
Away2.87 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Superbet
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vilaverdense = 0.68 (league 1.54), Celoricense = 0.53 (league 1.06)

Celoricense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vilaverdense 0 29.9% 15.8% 4.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.3% 10.7% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.9% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.0% · Draw 41.6% · Away win 24.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1