Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 15:00 •
Campo Cruz Do Reguengo
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.62)
0.51 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.0% | 42.7% | 24.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
31.4%
1 - 0
20.3%
0 - 1
16.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Celoricense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vilaverdense | 0 | 31.4% | 16.1% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.3% | 10.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vilaverdense | Celoricense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 53% |
| Attack | 47% | 73% |
| Defense | 80% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vilaverdense | Celoricense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 60% | 33% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 75% | 38% | 20% | 33% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 25% | 38% | 20% | 33% | 25% |
Form: Vilaverdense: DLLDWWDL • Celoricense: LWWWLDDW
League goals
| Metric | Vilaverdense | Celoricense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 2 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vilaverdense | Celoricense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 50% | 88% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 13% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 0% | 38% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vilaverdense | Celoricense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vilaverdense | Celoricense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vilaverdense | Celoricense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 5-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vilaverdense | Celoricense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 39% | 61% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 54.3% | 45.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Vilaverdense or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vilaverdense = 0.65 (league 1.62), Celoricense = 0.51 (league 1.10)
| Celoricense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vilaverdense | 0 | 31.4% | 16.1% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.3% | 10.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.0% · Draw 42.7% · Away win 24.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1