Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 14:00 •
Complexo Desportivo da Camacha
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.59)
0.69 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.2% | 37.1% | 28.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
22.9%
1 - 0
17.9%
0 - 1
15.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Chaves II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Camacha | 0 | 22.9% | 15.8% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.9% | 12.4% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Camacha | Chaves II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 58% | 83% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 40% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.8 | 9 | 2.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Camacha | Chaves II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Camacha: DLWW • Chaves II: WWDW
League goals
| Metric | Camacha | Chaves II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Camacha | Chaves II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 75% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 0% | 75% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 75% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Camacha | Chaves II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Camacha | Chaves II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Camacha | Chaves II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Camacha | Chaves II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 44.8% | 55.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Chaves II
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Camacha = 0.78 (league 1.59), Chaves II = 0.69 (league 1.09)
| Chaves II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Camacha | 0 | 22.9% | 15.8% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.9% | 12.4% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.2% · Draw 37.1% · Away win 28.7%
Vtot 4 , Vtod1