Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 14:00 • Estádio do Cruzeiro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.54) 1.41 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.3% 23.6% 32.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 0
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Celoricense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Os Limianos 0 4.5% 6.4% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.6% 10.8% 7.6% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.4% 9.1% 6.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.6% 5.1% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.5% 2.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOs LimianosCeloricense
Played44
Form75%75%
Attack32%63%
Defense84%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.512 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.85 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Os Limianos Celoricense
HATHAT
Played224314
Wins50%100%75%67%100%75%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses50%0%25%33%0%25%

Form: Os Limianos: WWLW • Celoricense: LWWW

League goals

Metric Os Limianos Celoricense
HATHAT
GF total42611112
GF avg2.01.01.53.71.03.0
GA total303505
GA avg1.50.00.81.70.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOs LimianosCeloricense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%75%
1.525%25%50%50%
2.525%0%50%0%
3.50%0%50%0%
4.50%0%50%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOs LimianosCeloricense
HATHAT
Clean sheets022011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricOs LimianosCeloricense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricOs LimianosCeloricense
Wins20
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-15-10-1
Biggest losses1-2—1-2—
Goals For3151
Goals Against2020

Model comparison

MetricOs LimianosCeloricense
Form50%50%
Att33%67%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total48.7%51.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Celoricense

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.72 @ Superbet
Draw3.34 @ Pinnacle
Away2.38 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Marathonbet
No1.95 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Os Limianos = 1.68 (league 1.54), Celoricense = 1.41 (league 1.06)

Celoricense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Os Limianos 0 4.5% 6.4% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.6% 10.8% 7.6% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.4% 9.1% 6.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.6% 5.1% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.5% 2.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.3% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 32.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1