Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Machico
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.66)
0.05 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.3% | 35.9% | 1.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
35.0%
0 - 0
34.1%
2 - 0
17.9%
Score & goals probability table
| AR São Martinho | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Machico | 0 | 34.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 35.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Machico | AR São Martinho |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 7% |
| Attack | 46% | 0% |
| Defense | 46% | 31% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
49%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Machico | AR São Martinho | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 33% | 33% | 33% | 67% | 100% | 83% |
Form: Machico: WWLDDL • AR São Martinho: LLLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Machico | AR São Martinho | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Machico | AR São Martinho | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 0% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 0% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Machico | AR São Martinho | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Machico | AR São Martinho |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Machico | AR São Martinho |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-1 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Machico | AR São Martinho |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 83% | 17% |
| Att | 100% | 0% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 48.0% | 52.0% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Machico and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Machico = 1.03 (league 1.66), AR São Martinho = 0.05 (league 1.15)
| AR São Martinho | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Machico | 0 | 34.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 35.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.3% · Draw 35.9% · Away win 1.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1