Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio Municipal Celorico De Basto
Expected Goals
2.90 (league 1.66)
1.48 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.4% | 16.0% | 16.8% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.8%
3 - 1
7.5%
2 - 2
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Chaves II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Celoricense | 0 | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Celoricense | Chaves II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 64% |
| Defense | 36% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Celoricense | Chaves II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 50% | 60% | 100% | 33% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Loses | 33% | 50% | 40% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
Form: Celoricense: LWWWL • Chaves II: WWDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Celoricense | Chaves II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| GF avg | 3.7 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Celoricense | Chaves II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 80% | 67% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 60% | 50% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 0% | 50% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Celoricense | Chaves II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Celoricense | Chaves II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Celoricense | Chaves II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-1 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Celoricense | Chaves II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 53.5% | 46.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Celoricense or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Celoricense = 2.90 (league 1.66), Chaves II = 1.48 (league 1.15)
| Chaves II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Celoricense | 0 | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.4% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 16.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1