Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.61) 1.10 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.0% 22.5% 22.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Machico
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bragança 0 5.1% 5.7% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.6% 10.6% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.9% 9.9% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.6% 6.1% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.6% 2.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBragançaMachico
Played55
Form40%13%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bragança Machico
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%25%50%25%25%25%
Draws25%0%13%25%25%25%
Loses0%75%38%50%50%50%

Form: Bragança: DWWLWLWL • Machico: WWLDDLLL

League goals

Metric Bragança Machico
HATHAT
GF total639369
GF avg1.50.81.10.81.51.1
GA total37103811
GA avg0.81.81.30.82.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBragançaMachico
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%63%75%
1.538%38%38%38%
2.50%13%13%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBragançaMachico
HATHAT
Clean sheets202112
Failed to score022303

Penalties

MetricBragançaMachico
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBragançaMachico
Wins22
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-23-10-1
Biggest losses3-00-13-1
Goals For2232
Goals Against2313

Model comparison

MetricBragançaMachico
Form75%25%
Att43%57%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total58.5%41.5%

Advice: Double chance : Bragança or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.94 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away3.87 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ Marathonbet
No1.84 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bragança = 1.87 (league 1.61), Machico = 1.10 (league 1.09)

Machico
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bragança 0 5.1% 5.7% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.6% 10.6% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.9% 9.9% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.6% 6.1% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.6% 2.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.0% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 22.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1