Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 11:00 • Estadio Municipal de Machico
Match Postponed
—
Expected Goals
0.24 (league 1.51) 0.22 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.4% 66.4% 16.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
63.0%
1 - 0
15.0%
0 - 1
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Celoricense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Machico 0 63.0% 14.1% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.0% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMachicoCeloricense
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack33%17%
Defense25%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Machico Celoricense
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins20%17%18%50%20%36%
Draws40%33%36%17%40%27%
Loses40%50%45%33%40%36%

Form: Machico: WWLDDLLLLDD • Celoricense: LWWWLDDWDLL

League goals

Metric Machico Celoricense
HATHAT
GF total381116218
GF avg0.61.31.02.70.41.6
GA total3131610313
GA avg0.62.21.51.70.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMachicoCeloricense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%73%64%73%
1.527%36%36%36%
2.59%27%27%9%
3.50%9%18%0%
4.50%0%18%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMachicoCeloricense
HATHAT
Clean sheets213033
Failed to score404134

Penalties

MetricMachicoCeloricense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMachicoCeloricense
Wins23
Draws22
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-15-10-1
Biggest losses0-14-11-22-1
Goals For3251
Goals Against1432

Model comparison

MetricMachicoCeloricense
Form29%71%
Att67%33%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total42.5%57.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Celoricense and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Bet365
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.65 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 1xBet
No1.75 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Machico = 0.24 (league 1.51), Celoricense = 0.22 (league 1.07)

Celoricense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Machico 0 63.0% 14.1% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.0% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.4% · Draw 66.4% · Away win 16.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1