Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio Municipal da Ribeira Brava
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.54)
0.98 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.7% | 23.9% | 21.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
11.6%
1 - 1
11.4%
2 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Machico | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ribeira Brava | 0 | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.6% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.9% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ribeira Brava | Machico |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 13% |
| Attack | 71% | 57% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ribeira Brava | Machico | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Wins | 40% | 0% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 18% |
| Draws | 60% | 40% | 50% | 40% | 33% | 36% |
| Loses | 0% | 60% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 45% |
Form: Ribeira Brava: DLWWDDLDDL • Machico: WWLDDLLLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Ribeira Brava | Machico | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 4 | 13 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 16 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ribeira Brava | Machico | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 90% | 64% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 40% | 27% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 20% | 9% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ribeira Brava | Machico | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ribeira Brava | Machico |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ribeira Brava | Machico |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 5-1 | 0-1 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ribeira Brava | Machico |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 56.8% | 43.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Ribeira Brava or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ribeira Brava = 1.71 (league 1.54), Machico = 0.98 (league 1.06)
| Machico | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ribeira Brava | 0 | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.6% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.9% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.7% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 21.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1