Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 15:00 •
Complexo Desportivo Francisco Carvalho
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.54)
0.73 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.0% | 22.3% | 14.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.2%
2 - 0
12.9%
1 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Tirsense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chaves II | 0 | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.2% | 10.4% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.9% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chaves II | Tirsense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 60% |
| Attack | 100% | 86% |
| Defense | 0% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chaves II | Tirsense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 100% | 14% | 50% | 33% | 17% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 57% | 33% | 50% | 67% | 58% |
| Loses | 0% | 29% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
Form: Chaves II: WWDWLWDWLWDD • Tirsense: DDWLDDLDDWDW
League goals
| Metric | Chaves II | Tirsense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 10 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| GF avg | 2.8 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 12 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chaves II | Tirsense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 67% | 75% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 58% | 42% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 17% | 17% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chaves II | Tirsense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chaves II | Tirsense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chaves II | Tirsense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chaves II | Tirsense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 52.8% | 47.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Chaves II or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Chaves II = 1.81 (league 1.54), Tirsense = 0.73 (league 1.06)
| Tirsense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chaves II | 0 | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.2% | 10.4% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.9% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.0% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 14.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1