Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 11:00 •
Estadio Municipal Celorico De Basto
Expected Goals
2.10 (league 1.54)
1.28 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.1% | 20.9% | 22.7% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 1
9.2%
2 - 0
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Camacha | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Celoricense | 0 | 3.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Celoricense | Camacha |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 33% |
| Attack | 29% | 57% |
| Defense | 57% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Celoricense | Camacha | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Wins | 50% | 20% | 36% | 60% | 17% | 36% |
| Draws | 17% | 40% | 27% | 40% | 33% | 36% |
| Loses | 33% | 40% | 36% | 0% | 50% | 27% |
Form: Celoricense: LWWWLDDWDLL • Camacha: DLWWWDLWDDL
League goals
| Metric | Celoricense | Camacha | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 10 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Celoricense | Camacha | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 73% | 73% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 36% | 45% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 9% | 18% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 18% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Celoricense | Camacha | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Celoricense | Camacha |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Celoricense | Camacha |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-1 | 4-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Celoricense | Camacha |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 51.3% | 49.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Celoricense or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Celoricense = 2.10 (league 1.54), Camacha = 1.28 (league 1.06)
| Camacha | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Celoricense | 0 | 3.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.1% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 22.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1