Sat, Jan 10 2026 • 11:00 • Estádio São Sebastião
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.53) 0.85 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.5% 22.9% 17.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.7%
2 - 0
11.4%
1 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Machico
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mirandela 0 7.1% 6.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.7% 10.9% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.7% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.8% 5.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMirandelaMachico
Played55
Form60%13%
Attack50%42%
Defense42%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mirandela Machico
HATHAT
Played76135712
Wins71%17%46%20%14%17%
Draws0%17%8%40%29%33%
Loses29%67%46%40%57%50%

Form: Mirandela: WLLLWLWDWLLWW • Machico: WWLDDLLLLDDL

League goals

Metric Mirandela Machico
HATHAT
GF total93123912
GF avg1.30.50.90.61.31.0
GA total5101531518
GA avg0.71.71.20.62.11.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMirandelaMachico
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%54%67%75%
1.515%31%25%42%
2.58%31%8%25%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMirandelaMachico
HATHAT
Clean sheets426213
Failed to score134404

Penalties

MetricMirandelaMachico
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricMirandelaMachico
Wins12
Draws12
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-13-10-1
Biggest losses1-33-00-14-1
Goals For3132
Goals Against3314

Model comparison

MetricMirandelaMachico
Form82%18%
Att55%45%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total57.6%42.4%

Advice: Double chance : Mirandela or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Unibet
Draw3.25 @ Dafabet
Away3.50 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ 188Bet
No1.72 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Mirandela = 1.79 (league 1.53), Machico = 0.85 (league 1.07)

Machico
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mirandela 0 7.1% 6.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.7% 10.9% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.7% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.8% 5.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.5% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 17.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1