Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 15:00 •
Estádio Comendador Abílio Ferreira de Oliveira
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.51)
1.57 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.1% | 24.9% | 61.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.6%
0 - 2
14.6%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Chaves II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AR São Martinho | 0 | 11.9% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AR São Martinho | Chaves II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 33% |
| Attack | 64% | 73% |
| Defense | 64% | 27% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AR São Martinho | Chaves II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 33% | 57% | 46% | 71% | 14% | 43% |
| Draws | 17% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 57% | 29% |
| Loses | 50% | 43% | 46% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
Form: AR São Martinho: LLLLLDWWWWLWW • Chaves II: WWDWLWDWLWDDLL
League goals
| Metric | AR São Martinho | Chaves II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 25 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 7 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AR São Martinho | Chaves II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 46% | 77% | 79% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 15% | 50% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 15% | 43% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AR São Martinho | Chaves II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | AR São Martinho | Chaves II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | AR São Martinho | Chaves II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AR São Martinho | Chaves II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 26% | 74% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 51.8% | 48.2% |
Advice: Double chance : AR São Martinho or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): AR São Martinho = 0.56 (league 1.51), Chaves II = 1.57 (league 1.07)
| Chaves II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AR São Martinho | 0 | 11.9% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.1% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 61.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1