Sun, Feb 15 2026 • 11:00 •
Estadio Abel Alves de Figueiredo
Expected Goals
2.20 (league 1.43)
1.06 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.7% | 19.6% | 17.2% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.8%
2 - 0
9.3%
1 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Machico | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tirsense | 0 | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.3% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.8% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tirsense | Machico |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 60% |
| Attack | 54% | 31% |
| Defense | 46% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tirsense | Machico | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 38% | 22% | 29% | 50% | 11% | 29% |
| Draws | 38% | 56% | 47% | 25% | 22% | 24% |
| Loses | 25% | 22% | 24% | 25% | 67% | 47% |
TirsenseDDWLDDLDDWDWWLLWD
MachicoWWLDDLLLLDDLLWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Tirsense | Machico | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 11 | 23 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 9 | 10 | 19 | 3 | 19 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tirsense | Machico | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 71% | 65% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 35% | 24% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 6% | 6% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tirsense | Machico | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tirsense | Machico |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tirsense | Machico |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-4 | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tirsense | Machico |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 52.0% | 48.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.83 @ Bet365
Draw3.35 @ Superbet
Away4.70 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.72 @ Superbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.04 @ Marathonbet
No1.80 @ Superbet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…