Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 15:00 •
Estádio Municipal de Machico
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.49)
0.62 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.5% | 37.6% | 25.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
24.0%
1 - 0
19.3%
0 - 1
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Bragança | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Machico | 0 | 24.0% | 15.0% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.3% | 12.0% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.7% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Machico | Bragança |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 80% | 70% |
| Defense | 40% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Machico | Bragança | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 50% | 18% | 33% | 64% | 40% | 52% |
| Draws | 20% | 27% | 24% | 27% | 20% | 24% |
| Loses | 30% | 55% | 43% | 9% | 40% | 24% |
Form: Machico: WWLDDLLLLDDLLWLWWDLWW • Bragança: DWWLWLWLWDWDWWDWWDWLL
League goals
| Metric | Machico | Bragança | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 13 | 23 | 19 | 11 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 6 | 22 | 28 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Machico | Bragança | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 67% | 81% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 43% | 43% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 19% | 14% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Machico | Bragança | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Machico | Bragança |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Machico | Bragança |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 4-1 | 1-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Machico | Bragança |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 49.2% | 50.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Bragança
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Machico = 0.80 (league 1.49), Bragança = 0.62 (league 1.06)
| Bragança | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Machico | 0 | 24.0% | 15.0% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.3% | 12.0% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.7% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.5% · Draw 37.6% · Away win 25.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1