Wed, Apr 8 2026 • 14:00 •
Estádio Municipal de Machico
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.43)
0.24 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.5% | 49.0% | 12.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
42.5%
1 - 0
26.1%
0 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Vilaverdense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Machico | 0 | 42.5% | 10.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.1% | 6.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Machico | Vilaverdense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 100% | 25% |
| Defense | 25% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
50%
FT probability
2.5+
35%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Machico | Vilaverdense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 55% | 17% | 35% | 17% | 18% | 17% |
| Draws | 18% | 25% | 22% | 42% | 45% | 43% |
| Loses | 27% | 58% | 43% | 42% | 36% | 39% |
MachicoWWLDDLLLLDDLLWLWWDLWWWL
VilaverdenseDLLDWWDLDDDLDDWLDLDLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Machico | Vilaverdense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 14 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 6 | 24 | 30 | 13 | 9 | 22 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Machico | Vilaverdense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 65% | 52% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 43% | 13% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 17% | 4% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Machico | Vilaverdense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Machico | Vilaverdense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Machico | Vilaverdense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 4-1 | 0-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Machico | Vilaverdense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 80% | 20% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 61.2% | 38.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.85 @ William Hill
Draw4.05 @ Pinnacle
Away5.00 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.05 @ William Hill
No1.98 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ Unibet
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League standings
Loading standings…