Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 14:00 •
Estádio Municipal de Aveiro
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.16)
1.48 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.9% | 26.4% | 51.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.3%
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 2
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Aparecida | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Beira-Mar | 0 | 9.7% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Beira-Mar | Aparecida |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 42% | 75% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
60%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Beira-Mar | Aparecida | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 25% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Form: Beira-Mar: DLDW • Aparecida: LWWW
League goals
| Metric | Beira-Mar | Aparecida | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Beira-Mar | Aparecida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 50% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Beira-Mar | Aparecida | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Beira-Mar | Aparecida |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Beira-Mar | Aparecida |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Beira-Mar | Aparecida |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 35% | 65% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 38.5% | 61.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Aparecida
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Beira-Mar = 0.86 (league 1.16), Aparecida = 1.48 (league 1.02)
| Aparecida | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Beira-Mar | 0 | 9.7% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.9% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 51.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1