Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 15:00 •
Estádio Municipal do Farvão
Expected Goals
0.13 (league 1.20)
1.59 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.7% | 21.8% | 74.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
28.6%
0 - 2
22.7%
0 - 0
18.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Alpendorada | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gouveia | 0 | 18.1% | 28.6% | 22.7% | 12.0% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gouveia | Alpendorada |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 60% |
| Attack | 0% | 38% |
| Defense | 0% | 85% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
35%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
38%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gouveia | Alpendorada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 75% | 0% | 38% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 13% | 25% | 75% | 50% |
| Loses | 75% | 100% | 88% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
Form: Gouveia: DLLLLLLL • Alpendorada: WLDDWDDW
League goals
| Metric | Gouveia | Alpendorada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 8 | 12 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gouveia | Alpendorada | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 25% | 88% | 38% | 38% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 75% | 25% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 50% | 13% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gouveia | Alpendorada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gouveia | Alpendorada |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gouveia | Alpendorada |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 4-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gouveia | Alpendorada |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 0% | 100% |
| Def | 11% | 89% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 11.0% | 89.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Alpendorada and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Gouveia = 0.13 (league 1.20), Alpendorada = 1.59 (league 1.01)
| Alpendorada | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gouveia | 0 | 18.1% | 28.6% | 22.7% | 12.0% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.7% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 74.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1