Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 15:00 • Estádio Vila Mítica
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.20) 1.96 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.9% 20.0% 67.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.7%
0 - 2
14.5%
0 - 3
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Rebordosa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aparecida 0 7.5% 14.7% 14.5% 9.5% 4.7% 1.8%
1 4.7% 9.2% 9.1% 5.9% 2.9% 1.1%
2 1.5% 2.9% 2.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAparecidaRebordosa
Played55
Form47%100%
Attack23%69%
Defense46%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.41 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aparecida Rebordosa
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%25%50%100%75%88%
Draws0%25%13%0%25%13%
Loses25%50%38%0%0%0%

Form: Aparecida: LWWWLLDW • Rebordosa: WWDWWWWW

League goals

Metric Aparecida Rebordosa
HATHAT
GF total6288513
GF avg1.50.51.02.01.31.6
GA total6410022
GA avg1.51.01.30.00.50.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAparecidaRebordosa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%100%25%
1.538%25%38%0%
2.513%13%13%0%
3.50%13%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAparecidaRebordosa
HATHAT
Clean sheets112426
Failed to score134000

Penalties

MetricAparecidaRebordosa
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAparecidaRebordosa
Wins32
Draws11
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-24-01-2
Biggest losses0-42-0——
Goals For3242
Goals Against4201

Model comparison

MetricAparecidaRebordosa
Form32%68%
Att25%75%
Def13%88%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total23.8%76.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Rebordosa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.05 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away1.86 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Marathonbet
No1.74 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aparecida = 0.63 (league 1.20), Rebordosa = 1.96 (league 0.99)

Rebordosa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aparecida 0 7.5% 14.7% 14.5% 9.5% 4.7% 1.8%
1 4.7% 9.2% 9.1% 5.9% 2.9% 1.1%
2 1.5% 2.9% 2.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.9% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 67.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1