Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 15:00 •
Estádio Vila Mítica
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.21)
2.16 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.2% | 19.7% | 61.7% |
best score tips
0 - 2
10.0%
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Leça | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aparecida | 0 | 4.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Aparecida | Leça |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 87% |
| Attack | 21% | 64% |
| Defense | 29% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Aparecida | Leça | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Wins | 60% | 20% | 40% | 80% | 33% | 55% |
| Draws | 0% | 20% | 10% | 20% | 33% | 27% |
| Loses | 40% | 60% | 50% | 0% | 33% | 18% |
Form: Aparecida: LWWWLLDWLL • Leça: LWDDLWWWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Aparecida | Leça | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Aparecida | Leça | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 80% | 82% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 40% | 36% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 20% | 27% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Aparecida | Leça | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Aparecida | Leça |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Aparecida | Leça |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 2-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Aparecida | Leça |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 24% | 76% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 23% | 77% |
| Poisson Distribution | 31% | 69% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 25.8% | 74.3% |
Advice: Winner : Leça
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.89 @ 1xBet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away1.64 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.12 @ 1xBet
No1.72 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Aparecida = 0.99 (league 1.21), Leça = 2.16 (league 1.00)
| Leça | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aparecida | 0 | 4.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.2% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 61.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1