Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Vila Mea
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.20)
0.08 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 82.7% | 14.5% | 1.1% |
best score tips
2 - 0
25.0%
1 - 0
24.9%
3 - 0
16.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Gouveia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vila Meã | 0 | 12.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 25.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 16.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vila Meã | Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 0% |
| Attack | 43% | 0% |
| Defense | 64% | 7% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vila Meã | Gouveia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 40% | 60% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 60% | 20% | 40% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Loses | 0% | 20% | 10% | 80% | 100% | 90% |
Form: Vila Meã: WWDWDWDLWD • Gouveia: DLLLLLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Vila Meã | Gouveia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| GA total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 26 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 2.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vila Meã | Gouveia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 60% | 20% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 10% | 0% | 80% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 60% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vila Meã | Gouveia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vila Meã | Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vila Meã | Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vila Meã | Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 100% | 0% |
| Def | 72% | 28% |
| Poisson Distribution | 96% | 4% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 84.0% | 16.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Vila Meã or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vila Meã = 2.01 (league 1.20), Gouveia = 0.08 (league 0.99)
| Gouveia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vila Meã | 0 | 12.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 25.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 16.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 82.7% · Draw 14.5% · Away win 1.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1