Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 15:00 •
Complexo Desportivo Do Monte Forca
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.17)
2.05 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 14.0% | 20.0% | 64.1% |
best score tips
0 - 2
11.9%
0 - 1
11.6%
1 - 2
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Leça | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vila Real | 0 | 5.7% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vila Real | Leça |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 80% |
| Attack | 75% | 100% |
| Defense | 50% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vila Real | Leça | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Wins | 0% | 40% | 22% | 75% | 40% | 56% |
| Draws | 50% | 40% | 44% | 25% | 20% | 22% |
| Loses | 50% | 20% | 33% | 0% | 40% | 22% |
Form: Vila Real: WDDLWDLLD • Leça: LWDDLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Vila Real | Leça | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 6 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vila Real | Leça | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 56% | 89% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 11% | 22% | 33% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 11% | 22% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vila Real | Leça | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vila Real | Leça |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vila Real | Leça |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-5 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vila Real | Leça |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 28% | 72% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 22% | 78% |
| Total | 31.2% | 69.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Leça
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.68 @ 1xBet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.02 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.14 @ 1xBet
No1.71 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vila Real = 0.82 (league 1.17), Leça = 2.05 (league 1.02)
| Leça | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vila Real | 0 | 5.7% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.0% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 64.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1