Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 15:00 •
Estádio Vila MÃtica
Expected Goals
2.75 (league 1.27)
0.84 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3% | 13.9% | 8.7% |
best score tips
2 - 0
10.5%
3 - 0
9.6%
2 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Gouveia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aparecida | 0 | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.6% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.5% | 8.8% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.6% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Aparecida | Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 13% |
| Attack | 67% | 44% |
| Defense | 0% | 11% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Aparecida | Gouveia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| Wins | 50% | 14% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 29% | 13% | 29% | 13% | 20% |
| Loses | 50% | 57% | 53% | 71% | 88% | 80% |
AparecidaLWWWLLDWLLLLLWD
GouveiaDLLLLLLLLLLLDLD
League goals
| Metric | Aparecida | Gouveia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 4 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| GA total | 17 | 9 | 26 | 14 | 20 | 34 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Aparecida | Gouveia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 73% | 33% | 93% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 47% | 7% | 73% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 33% | 0% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Aparecida | Gouveia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Aparecida | Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Aparecida | Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 11 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-1 | 0-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Aparecida | Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 62.4% | 37.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.53 @ Bet365
Draw4.20 @ Dafabet
Away6.31 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.90 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.02 @ Superbet
No1.81 @ 1xBet
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League standings
Loading standings…