Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 15:00 •
Estádio Municipal de Vila Meã
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.24)
0.35 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.1% | 40.1% | 14.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
30.5%
1 - 0
25.5%
0 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Aparecida | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vila Meã | 0 | 30.5% | 10.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.5% | 9.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.7% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vila Meã | Aparecida |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 45% | 82% |
| Defense | 45% | 18% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vila Meã | Aparecida | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Wins | 30% | 30% | 30% | 55% | 11% | 35% |
| Draws | 70% | 30% | 50% | 0% | 33% | 15% |
| Loses | 0% | 40% | 20% | 45% | 56% | 50% |
Form: Vila Meã: WWDWDWDLWDWLLDDDDDDL • Aparecida: LWWWLLDWLLLLLWDWLLDW
League goals
| Metric | Vila Meã | Aparecida | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 16 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 24 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 5 | 17 | 22 | 23 | 12 | 35 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vila Meã | Aparecida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 70% | 70% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 25% | 30% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 10% | 20% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vila Meã | Aparecida | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vila Meã | Aparecida |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vila Meã | Aparecida |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-3 | 1-5 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vila Meã | Aparecida |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 47.2% | 52.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Aparecida
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vila Meã = 0.84 (league 1.24), Aparecida = 0.35 (league 0.99)
| Aparecida | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vila Meã | 0 | 30.5% | 10.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.5% | 9.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.7% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.1% · Draw 40.1% · Away win 14.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1